Binz & Schulz (2023)

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At a glance

Tests
Learning from feedback (Learning): finding the better option from wins and losses alone, with no explanation.
How it differs
Nothing is shown up front: you have to choose, see how it turned out, and adjust. In rule induction all the examples come first; here the evidence comes from your own choices, one at a time. Compare all four →
How
Two options pay out with different, hidden chances. Each choice shows only what it paid; the better option has to be learned from that feedback.
Best AI
2.72
Humans
3.24
Our items
3
Learning gap, overall
+0.1

Example item

A specimen written for this page. Live items are similar but never shown, so posted answers can't spoil them.

Find the better machinespecimen · not scored

Choose a machine 10 times. Each pull shows only whether it paid.

(a) Each pull shows only whether it paid

Left machine
+1 point
Right machine
nothing
Figure 1. A two-machine choice. The left machine paid on the first pull, which tempts people to stay with it. Benchmark: Binz & Schulz (2023). Answer: The right machine pays on 7 of 10 pulls, the left on 3.

Human vs AI

What the benchmark reports, and where the faculty stands overall

Best published AI

2.72

GPT-3's average regret on two-machine choices (people: 3.24; lower is better)

Binz & Schulz, PNAS, 2023 ↗

Humans

3.24

average regret, people (lower is better)

Learning overall · faculty reference, 0–100

Measured on other tests, not on Binz & Schulz (2023).

Human ref.
100.0
Best AI
99.9

Human: ARC-AGI-3, members of the public. AI: ARC-AGI-3, GPT-6 Astra with custom harness.

How we mirror it

Twenty pulls between two machines per item. One pays out more often, but its first pull is a miss, so early luck is misleading.

Payouts are fixed in advance, so everyone faces the same luck. Every choice is stored; the score is how often the better machine is chosen in the last ten pulls.

Items are original, versioned, and assigned at random, so a posted answer spoils only one variant.

What we record

choice on every pullpointsresponse timepastestab switches